Thursday 6 September 2018

US 2018 mid-terms in charts: Should Donald Trump be worried?


US 2018 mid-terms in charts: Should Donald Trump be worried?



Donald Trump alongside Congress, with his approval/disapproval rating in the background

Donald Trump won't be on the ballot when Americans go to the polls on 6 November, but the elections will shape the rest of his presidency.
Voters will be choosing 35 senators, 36 state governors and all 435 members of the House of Representatives, as well as dozens of local legislative officials.
The elections matter because if Democrats take back control of the House or the Senate from Republicans, they could severely limit what President Trump can do in the final two years of his term.
In the House, analysts predict dozens of seats could change hands and the majority of these are currently held by Republicans.
Chart showing the battle for the House. All 435 seats are up for election in November, with analysts predicting that as many as 50 could change hands - possibly leading to Democrats taking control

It's essentially a referendum on Trump

Mid-term elections tend to act as a referendum on the president and that's usually bad news for the party that controls the White House.
Of the 21 mid-terms that have been held since 1934, the president's party has only made gains in the House three times and in the Senate five times.
Chart showing how the president's party usually loses seats in mid-term elections



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